Brainio
Show HN: Brainio – Markdown notepad that turns notes into visual mind maps
AI Analysis
Analysis coming soon.
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FutureSearch, AI forecasting you can verify
*Title:* Show HN: FutureSearch, AI forecasting you can verify AI forecasting is now approximately superhuman. Today, FutureSearch is exiting our long public beta and launching. We started FutureSearch in August 2023. (We’re the original AI forecasting company, at least in a Tetlock-ian, “forecast anything” sense.) We’re currently #1 of 194 in the most competitive AI forecasting tournament [1], and we score above the #3 and #2 human forecasters in the premier mixed human-bot tournaments [2]. Many people on HN seem to equate forecasting with prediction markets and finance. FutureSearch is not a financial tool, in the same way that “deep research” is not a financial tool. Yes, we do evaluate our forecaster on prediction markets [3]. But forecasting is about being as accurate about the future as possible, and the real game is in forecasting scientific progress, geopolitics, and the future of humanity. Our founding team came from Metaculus, where we pushed human forecasting to the limit on questions like when AGI would arrive. At. FutureSearch, we co-authored the AI 2027 timeline forecast, where we predicted superhuman coding and research would come around 2032, longer than the other authors, but still shorter than skeptics [4]. Thousands of people used the FutureSearch beta and ran >10k high-effort forecasts, on all sorts of diverse topics. Ask it anything about the future. We now support decision forecasts too: “If I do X, will I achieve this outcome?” Forecasting, as a capability, is useful even at the level of expert human crowds. But we predict that we will soon have strongly superhuman forecasting. People who bet against AI capability trend lines tend to lose, and the trend line in AI forecast accuracy tells a pretty clear story [5]. There’s no reason to think the best human forecasters have figured out everything predictable about the world. There’s a lot more signal to be found. And if you’re skeptical, try it. We’ve seen our fair share of exaggerated claims about AI forecasting accuracy [6]. So part of the reason we made the free tier give a few of our highest effort forecasters free is to let anyone verify the quality. [1] https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/summer-futureeval-2026/ [2] evals.futuresearch.ai [3] markets.futuresearch.ai [4] https://ai-2027.com/research/timelines-forecast [5] https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/the-ai-superforecasters-are... [6] https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/uGkRcHqatmPkvpGLq/contra-pap...
Shared memory graph for Claude and ChatGPT, over MCP
Show HN: Shared memory graph for Claude and ChatGPT, over MCP
Ski
SKI is a on-device voice coding application, which can be used with any agents that supports skill, such as Claude Code, Codex or Hermes. It transcribes your voice (which you can optionally review and edit) and send it to the connected agent. The agent then completes the task, and uses the skill to talk about the updates of the project or a summary or a query using voice. This runs completely on-device. Free. No subscription. Available on both Mac (notch and pill) and Windows (pill widget) It can also be sent to meetings with the intelligence of the connected project to participate actively in the meeting. This is a paid feature (as it runs on the cloud), powered by agentcall and is optional. All on device functions are free with no limits on usage.
Distilling DeepSeek into GPT-OSS doesn't transfer censorship. Try it
We recently used DeepSeek V4 Flash as a teacher for finance tasks with GPT-OSS-120B. Distillation works well on this problem. At a constrained 8k token budget, our self-distilled 120B scores 83.61% on FinanceReasoning, above Kimi K3 (81.93%) and Inkling (65.13%). We released the 20B open weights. With V4 as the teacher though, we realized it would be timely to measure if the censorship characteristic of it transferred to the distilled version of the base model. tl;dr it didn't, the teacher answered politically sensitive questions 7 SDs differently than expected, but the distilled model's behavior remained the same as its American base. You can try a couple queries yourself with no auth here: http://playground.ctgt.ai/ I will now dive in to the motivation, methodology and detailed results for those interested. The hard part of measuring this phenomena is isolating whether a model is reluctant to talk about sensitive things generally vs. a particular country's sensitive things. So we made 152 matched pairs where one prompt asked about a Chinese concept, and the other asked about a non-Chinese version of that concept. For example, the Great Leap Forward vs. the Holodomor. These were scored 0-100 by four LLM judges (Grok 4.20, Gemini 3.5 Flash, GPT-5 mini, Claude Sonnet 4.6), validated against 96 human scores at r=0.948. OpenRouter blocked some of these so we hosted the weights ourselves. The teacher's gap on the core political set of pairs was +45.45 points, ~7 standard deviations from chance, and every distilled student was within 1 point of its base. Subliminal learning literature says this is expected when the initializations are not shared between teacher and student, which is true here. The distillation data also did not contain any China-sensitive content. The contribution here was to release the evaluation framework (LineageEval: https://github.com/CTGT-Inc/lineage-eval/) to elevate the discussion around this topic in DC and beyond. We are an interpretability lab working on high risk and regulated applications of AI, so we hear a lot of vagaries aimed at the supposed dangers of distilling Chinese models on American bases. We believe these conversations should be based on open, auditable frameworks and not feelings. We plan to test what happens with a Chinese teacher into a Chinese-lineage base like Qwen next. The distillation method was an evolution of HINT-SD where we inject a hint at the specific point the model makes a mistake in its reasoning. Then we train on the corrected continuation with reverse KL over the next 100 toks of the rollout. As mentioned above 120B itself was efficacious as a teacher, and we ended up shipping this version. The self-distilled 120B scores 83.61% on FinanceReasoning, above Kimi K3 (81.93%) and Inkling (65.13%). Ours finishes 98.7% of problems in budget; the larger models truncate (90.76% and 71.01%) which score as incorrect. At 100k tokens big models gain (Kimi 89.92%). So for a finance task at a constrained (perhaps more realistic) budget a 120B on one H100 at ~$0.00026/query outpaced models running 62-160x more per query. We put out the 20B finance model as open weights (64.71% to 74.79% at 8k on FinanceReasoning, 23% lower cost/query, runs on one 80GB GPU), the 120B in a playground with teacher and students side by side (a few queries, no auth), and LineageEval with all prompts, controls, rubric, and code. We are curious to hear experiences from those working with distilled Chinese models in prod, or if you have thoughts on improvements to LineageEval. https://huggingface.co/ctgt-inc/gpt-oss-20b-finance https://playground.ctgt.ai/ https://github.com/CTGT-Inc/lineage-eval/ https://www.ctgt.ai/research/distillation-censorship-transfe...
AgentCouch
Hello HN! I wanted to share a small MCP + web app I built to solve a problem at work. Essentially, we’ve been doing great when working with agents 1:1, but collaboration has been a struggle. E.g. when I have to collaborate with a teammate and share context or handoff work usually what I would do is create a markdown with my agent, paste in slack, then my teammate will copy and paste it to their agent and vice-versa. To make our lives easier, I built AgentCouch, a “messaging app” for agents that lets our agents chat and hand off work directly in shared rooms. Humans can also watch the conversation, jump in and steer it from their laptop or phone. I was aiming to solve the following issues: 1. Easily handing off context between agents by allowing them to chat directly. 2. Making sure handing off doesn’t miss important context and allowing agents to ask follow-ups. 3. Since we are also a distributed team, allowing my colleagues and their agents to talk to my agent and get their questions answered instead of waiting for me to wake up. At it's core it's an MCP with a few more endpoints and instructions(and a web UI) that allows the agents to watch the rooms. Needless to say, you have to trust the person you are sharing a room with since their agent can ask your agent anything. If you experience these issues with your team, check it out and please share some feedback if you do! Thanks!